0: well the spread of the corona virus has
2: taken its toll on markets around the world.
4: trillions of pounds has been wiped
6: off the value of shares in recent days.
8: oil prices are downed by around a third
12: that's the biggest fall in almost 30 years.
14: well our business presenter Ian
17: King is live from the city. Ian, what
22: is happening on the markets?
26: hello Adam. yes I join you from the trading floor at
28: Peal Hunt City stock brokers where the
30: footsie 100 opened an hour ago. the
31: footsie has fallen very very sharply, by
34: 8 percent at one point. and the footsie, I
37: can tell you, is now officially in bear
38: market territory and hasn't fallen by more
40: than 20 percent since its most recent
42: peak in February. now the real driver for
45: all this Adam is the oil price. that's
47: been behind this latest lurch downwards.
49: on Friday afternoon the Saudi Arabians
52: and their allies in OPEC failed to reach a
55: production cut agreement with Russia.
57: they've been looking for the Russians to
59: trim their output by around half a
60: million barrels a day. the Russians said
63: they weren't going to play ball. the
64: reason for that production cut was that
65: they wanted to bring supplies into
68: balance with demand which has obviously
69: fallen off post the corona virus
71: outbreak. the Russians, as I say, wouldn't
74: play ball so over the weekend the Saudis
76: have effectively declared a trade war on
78: the Russians. they've said that they're
80: going to up production. as a result
81: you've seen this really historic fall in
84: oil prices: crude dropping by 30 percent
86: over the weekend to $11 a barrel or so for
89: Brent crude- I mean that is the biggest
91: one-day fall since the first Gulf War
93: back in 1991. the word crash is often
96: overused but I don't think it's an over
98: exaggeration on this particular occasion
100: to say that the price of oil has
102: absolutely crashed. now that particularly
104: hurts the footsie 100 because it's very
106: heavy in resources stocks. there's the likes of
109: Royal Dutch Shell and BP
110: respectively, the 1st and 5th biggest
112: companies on the footsie 100. well both
115: of those came off by more than 20% at
117: the open they stabilized during the last
119: hour or so but both of those stocks very
122: very important bellwethers held by
124: millions of shareholders around the
126: world, by almost every index track of
128: funds. Well, those have fallen but they're
130: around about 17 to 18 percent lower
133: right
133: now. the other really dramatic news that
135: I have to bring you Adam is what's been
138: going on in the gilt market. now you've
140: obviously seen a big dash towards
142: sovereign debt bonds in recent days and
145: that has depressed the yield to the
147: yield falls when the price rises and you
149: saw on Friday afternoon for example on
152: Wall Street US Treasuries really the
154: yield on those really really dropping
156: overnight you've seen that yield on
158: 30-year US Treasuries the long bond
161: which is a very key financial instrument
163: that's gone below 1% for the first time
165: ever this morning more dramatically that
167: not for the UK UK government bonds gilts
170: you've seen the yield on 2-year gilts go
173: negative for the first time ever in
175: other words borrowers are actually
176: paying the UK government for the right
179: to lend a mother to lend money to it now
181: this is something we've seen in the
183: eurozone over the years for example with
185: German government bonds you've seen
188: those trading on negative yields this
189: has never happened with the UK before
191: say very very dramatic moment all sorts
193: of implications Adam for government
195: borrowing given him that rishis soon at
197: the new chancellor is being urged in
199: some quarters to increase government
201: borrowing turn on the spending taps and
203: the gilt market essentially certainly on
205: the 2-year level is giving him every
207: opportunity to do that but I mean the
209: broad picture Adam is it's absolute
210: carnage you're seeing that as I say big
212: big drops in some of the oil prices the
214: likes of International Airlines Group
216: the owner of British Airways that's been
218: smacked by another 8% today as well so
221: really ugly picture right across the
223: piece and the irony in King is that
225: normally a low oil price and low
227: interest rates would be a stimulus for
229: industry yes that's absolutely right out
233: of normally a higher or price is seen as
236: a tax on growth but in this particular
238: instance you've got a fairly toxic
240: combination because the oil price has
242: got two factors depressing that one is
244: lower demand as a result of coronavirus
247: and the other is higher supply with the
249: Saudis turning on the spending taps this
251: this is going to have all sorts of
253: knock-on effects everywhere Adam you're
254: going to see for example I think some of
256: the big US shale producers they're going
258: to come under pressure a lot of those
260: have issued a lot of debt as in the junk
262: bond market you can see that that coming
265: under pressure so the knock on the
267: we'll be right across all sorts of
268: financial assets classes but to your
270: point is very interesting actually in
272: this regard to look at what happened in
273: Japan overnight now the Nikkei the main
276: Japanese stock index fell by some 5%
278: Japan is a very very big oil consumer a
281: big oil importer other things being
284: equal you would assume that this would
285: do this would be very good for the
287: Japanese economy potentially offer some
289: stimulus what seems to have happened is
291: that there's been a rush into the
293: Japanese yen now the yen is obviously
295: seen as a bit of a safe haven at times
298: like this a higher yen means that it's
300: more expensive for Japanese exporters to
302: export their goods and accordingly
304: that's why you've seen the Nikkei
306: selling off you're seeing all sorts of
307: asset classes coming under some very
309: unusual pricing movements indeed
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